FiveThirtyEight: McCain Now Winning the Small Majority of Simulations
Nate Silver and his partner over FiveThirtyEight frequently run 10,000 computer simulations of the upcoming election. Today, for the first time, McCain has won the majority of those simulations. This seems to be based on a new set of polls coming out today that give McCain a ten point lead in Missouri and a five point lead in Ohio. Those states had been moving in McCain's direction for a few weeks, but those are fairly striking totals. What can we take from this?
We're all going to die.